Let X ~ N(μ, σ²) and Y=eX(log-normal distribution)Y = e^X \text{(log-\text{normal distribution})}. Find E[Y] and Var(Y).

Answer: E[Y]=eμ+σ22E[Y] = e^{\mu + \frac{\sigma^2}{2}} Var(Y)=e2μ+σ2(eσ2−1)\text{Var}(Y) = e^{2\mu + \sigma^2}(e^{\sigma^2} - 1)

Step-by-step solution

Step 1: Define the probability density function of X

Since XX follows a normal distribution with mean μ\mu and variance σ2\sigma^2, its probability density function (PDF) is given by this formula. This PDF will be used to calculate the expected value of YY.

Step 2: Calculate E[Y] using the definition of expectation

The expected value of a function of a random variable, E[g(X)]E[g(X)], is found by integrating g(x)g(x) multiplied by the PDF of XX over its entire range. Here, g(X)=eXg(X) = e^X, so we substitute exe^x and the PDF of XX into the integral.

Step 3: Simplify the exponent and complete the square

We combine the exponential terms and complete the square in the exponent. This involves algebraic manipulation to transform the expression into the form of a normal distribution's PDF. The integral of a PDF over its entire domain is 1, which simplifies the expression.

Step 4: Calculate E[Y]

After completing the square, the integral becomes the integral of a normal PDF with mean μ+σ2\mu + \sigma^2 and variance σ2\sigma^2. Since the integral of any PDF over its entire domain is 1, the expected value of YY simplifies to the exponential term outside the integral.

Step 5: Calculate E[Y²]

To find the variance, we first need to calculate E[Y2]E[Y^2]. Since Y=eXY = e^X, Y2=(eX)2=e2XY^2 = (e^X)^2 = e^{2X}. We can use the same method as for E[Y]E[Y], but with 2X2X instead of XX. This is equivalent to a normal distribution with mean 2μ2\mu and variance 4σ24\sigma^2.

Step 6: Apply the formula for E[e^(aX)]

Using the general result that if X∼N(μ,σ2)X \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2), then E[eaX]=eaμ+a2σ22E[e^{aX}] = e^{a\mu + \frac{a^2\sigma^2}{2}}, we substitute a=2a=2. This gives us the value for E[Y2]E[Y^2].

Step 7: Calculate Var(Y)

The variance of YY is defined as E[Y2]−(E[Y])2E[Y^2] - (E[Y])^2. We substitute the expressions we found for E[Y2]E[Y^2] and E[Y]E[Y] and simplify the result by factoring out common terms.

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